Possible September Surprise For China's Second Manned Launch

http://www.spacedaily.com/news/china-05zzzzzzt.html

Possible September Surprise For China's Second Manned Launch

File image of a Shenzhou vehicle during in final assembly and testing.

by Morris Jones

Sydney, Australia (SPX) Sep 07, 2005

China may bring forward it's second manned space mission to later this
month, a space official said Tuesday in Shanghai. "The launch of Shenzhou VI
spacecraft could be in September or October, " said Zhang Qingwei, president
of the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corp, the Shanghai Morning
Post reported.

Chinese space technicians are conducting final tests on the craft, and the
actual launch time will be adjusted according to the test results, according
to Zhang. But he estimated that the craft is most likely to blast off sooner
that originally anticipated.

A flag for the 2010 World Expo to be held in Shanghai will be carried aboard
Shenzhou-6, according to Zhang, adding that Shanghai citizens will probably
have the chance to see the articles that will go with Shenzhou 6 soon.

China became the third nation to successfully send a man into space in
October 2003, when astronaut Yang Liwei orbited the Earth 14 times on the
Shenzhou V spacecraft.
What is happening with Shenzhou 6?

In all likelihood, Chinese space official have developed a schedule that
provides ample time to resolve any technical glitches with the spacecraft.
It's now possible that Shenzhou 6 has been less troublesome than its
predecessors.
With rocket, spacecraft and astronauts all ready to go, China could have
decided there is no point in delaying the launch, and that extending the
timeframe, could serve only to increase the chance an unforeseen event
arises.

Previous Shenzhou missions have experienced technical problems that have
curtailed their launch dates. One test flight was rolled out of its assembly
building, then returned when engineers discovered serious flaws. A delay of
months ensued before the vehicle finally lifted off.

With five previous missions behind them, including the successful flight of
China's first astronaut in 2003, Shenzhou's engineers would have by now
largely succeeded in debugging this complex spacecraft. The design is now
largely fixed, and procedures for manufacturing and rolling out the vehicle
for flight have been tested many time times now and the confidence of for
preflight processing has increased.

The timing of the mission could also have a political angle.
Internationally, China is active on many fronts at the present, ranging from
controversies over export quotas for clothing to Europe, to the possible
return in the near future of the six party talks on North Korea in Beijing.
Senior officials in the Communist Party could feel that launching Chinese
astronauts as soon as possible could improve China's image in one, or
several of China's current international initiatives.

Another attraction for launching in September an early mission is the
upcoming meeting between Chinese President Hu Jintao and US President George
W. Bush. NASA's recent problems could also make the success of China's
fledgling human spaceflight program seem more significant. It's even
possible that some announcement, or new project, that is currently unknown
to external observers could be planned for the near future, and the launch
could be timed to coincide with this.

Even if China sticks to its original plan of launching Shenzhou 6 in
mid-October, the very fact that an earlier launch has been mooted in public
is noteworthy. It points to a greater confidence in the Shenzhou system, as
well as suggesting that launch schedules are not necessarily as rigid as
some observers may have previously suspected.

--
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Jacques :-)

www.spacepatches.info

Jacques van Oene wrote:
http://www.spacedaily.com/news/china-05zzzzzzt.html

Possible September Surprise For China's Second Manned Launch
....
The timing of the mission could also have a political angle.
Internationally, China is active on many fronts at the present, ranging from
controversies over export quotas for clothing to Europe, to the possible
return in the near future of the six party talks on North Korea in Beijing.
Senior officials in the Communist Party could feel that launching Chinese
astronauts as soon as possible could improve China's image in one, or
several of China's current international initiatives.

A China space launch isn't going to cause Europe
to change its clothing quotas, nor will it have
any effect on Korea's leader. This is just
nonsense.

Another attraction for launching in September an early mission is the
upcoming meeting between Chinese President Hu Jintao and US President George
W. Bush. NASA's recent problems could also make the success of China's
fledgling human spaceflight program seem more significant.

More nonsense. Pres. Bush is more interested in
China's growing submarine fleet and in its recent
twin spysat launches than he would ever be in a
repeat Shenzhou mission.

- Ed Kyle

On 7 Sep 2005 07:37:40 -0700, "ed kyle" wrote:

More nonsense. Pres. Bush is more interested in
China's growing submarine fleet and in its recent
twin spysat launches than he would ever be in a
repeat Shenzhou mission.

I wish we were more interested in those issues instead of continuing
to gut our own submarine capabilities.

-- David