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Existing at the core of this mess where the investigation of
celestial and terrestrial phenomena is now in total disrepute is the original late 17th century distortions which attempted to force planetary orbital dynamics to look like the behavior of terrestrial objects by exploiting the calendar based convenience of Ra/Dec.It is the lack of astronomers and the authority they carry that presents the greatest problem at the moment as the interpretative qualities which put physical considerations into context of conclusions are completely absent ,this is not just a recent problem but one that may always exist - "The same thing has struck me even more forcibly than you. I have heard such things put forth as I should blush to repeat--not so much to avoid discrediting their authors (whose names could always be withheld) as to refrain from detracting so greatly from the honor of the human race. In the long run my observations have convinced me that some men, reasoning preposterously, first establish some conclusion In their minds which, either because of its being their own or because of their having received it from some person who has their entire confidence, impresses them so deeply that one finds it impossible ever to get it out of their heads. Such arguments in support of their fixed idea as they hit upon themselves or hear set forth by others, no matter how simple and stupid these may be, gain their instant acceptance and applause. On the other hand whatever is brought forward against it, however ingenious and conclusive, they receive with disdain or with hot rage--if indeed it does not make them ill " Galileo Trying to make pollution studies look like global climate is much the same as what Newton did with planetary motions and objects at a local human level,the former being a symptom of the latter approach which has temporarily destroyed the methods and insights of astronomy and investigative approaches. The treason is not among those who subscribe to empiricism,it is those who know exactly what went wrong in the late 17th century when the great astronomical heritage came under an assault from those who are comfortable distorting data to suit their conclusions. |
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Yes, Global Warming is real, but Oriel doesn't dispute that. Just that
since we don't know what causes the seasons, we're not qualified to judge if it is anthropogenic or not. Given that he says that "the original late 17th century distortions which attempted to force planetary orbital dynamics to look like the behavior of terrestrial objects by exploiting the calendar based convenience of Ra/Dec." is at the root of the problem, it is clear that he opposes the insight Newton is said to have derived from the fall of an apple. Rather than having the heavens work by the force of gravity plus the conservation of momentum, as far as he is concerned, the heavens are a completely separate heavenly realm with their own independent set of laws; to be understood by analogy ("structural astronomy") and creative insight - under the discipline of sound authority. Not where anyone can do anything they want, because if they're wrong they'll be shot down by the facts: that's the anarchy Newton and Flamsteed created. In other words, he is at war with science itself. I don't think you can do much with that. John Savard |
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Only lunatics argue with lunatics.
"Quadibloc" wrote in message ... Yes, Global Warming is real, but Oriel doesn't dispute that. Just that since we don't know what causes the seasons, we're not qualified to judge if it is anthropogenic or not. Given that he says that "the original late 17th century distortions which attempted to force planetary orbital dynamics to look like the behavior of terrestrial objects by exploiting the calendar based convenience of Ra/Dec." is at the root of the problem, it is clear that he opposes the insight Newton is said to have derived from the fall of an apple. Rather than having the heavens work by the force of gravity plus the conservation of momentum, as far as he is concerned, the heavens are a completely separate heavenly realm with their own independent set of laws; to be understood by analogy ("structural astronomy") and creative insight - under the discipline of sound authority. Not where anyone can do anything they want, because if they're wrong they'll be shot down by the facts: that's the anarchy Newton and Flamsteed created. In other words, he is at war with science itself. I don't think you can do much with that. John Savard |
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On Nov 26, 12:07 am, Sam Wormley wrote:
oriel36 wrote: Existing at the core of this mess where the investigation of celestial and terrestrial phenomena is now in total disrepute is the original late 17th century distortions which attempted to force planetary orbital dynamics to look like the behavior of terrestrial objects by exploiting the calendar based convenience of Ra/Dec.It is the lack of astronomers and the authority they carry that presents the greatest problem at the moment as the interpretative qualities which put physical considerations into context of conclusions are completely absent ,this is not just a recent problem but one that may always exist - "The same thing has struck me even more forcibly than you. I have heard such things put forth as I should blush to repeat--not so much to avoid discrediting their authors (whose names could always be withheld) as to refrain from detracting so greatly from the honor of the human race. In the long run my observations have convinced me that some men, reasoning preposterously, first establish some conclusion In their minds which, either because of its being their own or because of their having received it from some person who has their entire confidence, impresses them so deeply that one finds it impossible ever to get it out of their heads. Such arguments in support of their fixed idea as they hit upon themselves or hear set forth by others, no matter how simple and stupid these may be, gain their instant acceptance and applause. On the other hand whatever is brought forward against it, however ingenious and conclusive, they receive with disdain or with hot rage--if indeed it does not make them ill " Galileo Trying to make pollution studies look like global climate is much the same as what Newton did with planetary motions and objects at a local human level,the former being a symptom of the latter approach which has temporarily destroyed the methods and insights of astronomy and investigative approaches. The treason is not among those who subscribe to empiricism,it is those who know exactly what went wrong in the late 17th century when the great astronomical heritage came under an assault from those who are comfortable distorting data to suit their conclusions. 1. Global Warming is happening. 2. Normally we should be cooling and we are not because of an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations. The CO2 humans are dumping into the atmosphere, cannot be denied. The warming from CO2 is driving more moisture into the atmosphere. Higher night time dew points... less nighttime cooling. Pretty obvious in Iowa. The increase moisture results in o cooler Summer Highs o Warmer Summer Lows o increased rainfall o increased flooding (economic disaster $20 billion in the Cedar Rapids, IA area) o greater water run-off You would prefer a drought? |
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On Nov 26, 4:45*am, wrote:
You would prefer a drought? The increased rainfall just happens to be one consequence of a change in climate. Whether it provides a net benefit or net harm to Iowa - just as Canada might benefit from easier access to some Arctic resources - is irrelevant. Instead, what is important is the *total* impact of the change in climate, which will be negative in many ways, from invasive species in the southern U.S. to famine in southeast Asia. John Savard |
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Only lunatics argue with lunatics.
oriel36 wrote: Existing at the core of this mess where the investigation of celestial and terrestrial phenomena is now in total disrepute is the original late 17th century distortions which attempted to force planetary orbital dynamics to look like the behavior of terrestrial objects by exploiting the calendar based convenience of Ra/Dec.It is the lack of astronomers and the authority they carry that presents the greatest problem at the moment as the interpretative qualities which put physical considerations into context of conclusions are completely absent ,this is not just a recent problem but one that may always exist - "The same thing has struck me even more forcibly than you. I have heard such things put forth as I should blush to repeat--not so much to avoid discrediting their authors (whose names could always be withheld) as to refrain from detracting so greatly from the honor of the human race. In the long run my observations have convinced me that some men, reasoning preposterously, first establish some conclusion In their minds which, either because of its being their own or because of their having received it from some person who has their entire confidence, impresses them so deeply that one finds it impossible ever to get it out of their heads. Such arguments in support of their fixed idea as they hit upon themselves or hear set forth by others, no matter how simple and stupid these may be, gain their instant acceptance and applause. On the other hand whatever is brought forward against it, however ingenious and conclusive, they receive with disdain or with hot rage--if indeed it does not make them ill " Galileo Trying to make pollution studies look like global climate is much the same as what Newton did with planetary motions and objects at a local human level,the former being a symptom of the latter approach which has temporarily destroyed the methods and insights of astronomy and investigative approaches. The treason is not among those who subscribe to empiricism,it is those who know exactly what went wrong in the late 17th century when the great astronomical heritage came under an assault from those who are comfortable distorting data to suit their conclusions. 1. Global Warming is happening. 2. Normally we should be cooling and we are not because of an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations. The CO2 humans are dumping into the atmosphere, cannot be denied. The warming from CO2 is driving more moisture into the atmosphere. Higher night time dew points... less nighttime cooling. Pretty obvious in Iowa. The increase moisture results in o cooler Summer Highs o Warmer Summer Lows o increased rainfall o increased flooding (economic disaster $20 billion in the Cedar Rapids, IA area) o greater water run-off You would prefer a drought? My preferences are unimportant. |
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On Nov 26, 11:32 am, Quadibloc wrote:
On Nov 26, 4:45 am, wrote: You would prefer a drought? The increased rainfall just happens to be one consequence of a change in climate. Whether it provides a net benefit or net harm to Iowa - just as Canada might benefit from easier access to some Arctic resources - is irrelevant. Instead, what is important is the *total* impact of the change in climate, which will be negative in many ways, from invasive species in the southern U.S. to famine in southeast Asia. The worst invasive species are usually brought in by ships and planes, from great distances, not so much from migrations of species from adjacent areas. I'm not sure why Wormley is trying to use the floods in Cedar Rapids to make his point. After all, the city is called Cedar _Rapids_ from which we can infer that it was built on a river. Rivers have been known to be the site of floods since ancient times. If the long-term monetary benefit of having the city on the river exceeds that of $20 billion in damages then what's the problem? (That amount of damage would work out to about $3 million per acre that was flooded, ie pricey real estate.) |
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On Nov 27, 10:17 am, Sam Wormley wrote:
wrote: I'm not sure why Wormley is trying to use the floods in Cedar Rapids to make his point. After all, the city is called Cedar _Rapids_ from which we can infer that it was built on a river. Rivers have been known to be the site of floods since ancient times. If the long-term monetary benefit of having the city on the river exceeds that of $20 billion in damages then what's the problem? (That amount of damage would work out to about $3 million per acre that was flooded, ie pricey real estate.) I agree that Cities, Businesses and homes should not be built on flood planes. It does happen. Background--the levee system was meant to handle 500 year event floods and one would expect a flood of that magnitude to go over a foot or two. The 2008 flood breached the levee system by almost 11 feet. Twenty Billion Dollars in flood damage--not fun for the local, state or nation. The impact of global climate change in the form of increased rainfall, increased rate of rainfall and increased big rainfall events is a concern. Here's some data from Iowa State University http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/facult...entations.html More from University of Iowa http://www.engineering.uiowa.edu/fac...directory/cee/... I wonder how many flood victims in Cedar Rapids drive around in SUVs? Maybe Iowa should ramp up its production of biofuel (without Federal help.) The use of fossil fuels and the transmission of electricity into the state could then be gradually reduced to zero over a period of a few years. Then we will all see if the state can really meet its own energy needs via biofuel (along with whatever hydro, nuclear, wind and solar it might be able to keep running without support by fossil fuel.) If it can't do that and wants to resume fossil fuel use, then no more compliants about global warming should be heard from anyone living or working in the state. |
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On Nov 27, 10:06*am, wrote:
If it can't do that and wants to resume fossil fuel use, then no more compliants about global warming should be heard from anyone living or working in the state. That's silly. Just because *most* people in the state aren't likely to change their lifestyles voluntarily to do something about global warming, that doesn't mean that the enlightened few shouldn't continue to complain even more loudly and clearly. Until someone listens. Hopefully in time to avert global disaster. With nuclear power as one of the energy sources, there is _no question_ that we can meet our energy needs without use of fossil fuels. Except for the fossil fuels we'll use while we're building all those nuclear power plants. That's fine - this _is_ a selfish strategy. Get one's own nuclear power plants built *now*, while one can still use fossil fuels for the trucks going to the construction site - so that when the world wakes up, and fossil fuels are banned, at least *your* area will be sitting pretty with abundant nuclear power while everyone else is suffering on what little energy they can get from wind and solar. (Well, _some_ other lucky people already have hydroelectricity.) Given that current warming has already started methane release, and the oceans are becoming acidic from absorbing too much carbon dioxide, we probably can't avert the climate catastrophe, so we should *at least* secure our energy supplies while we still can. If I'm pessimistic, and switching to nuclear does help prevent disaster, all the better. John Savard |
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On Nov 27, 8:05 pm, Quadibloc wrote:
On Nov 27, 10:06 am, wrote: If it can't do that and wants to resume fossil fuel use, then no more compliants about global warming should be heard from anyone living or working in the state. That's silly. Not silly at all, because you quoted me out of context. IF an experiment such as I suggested were to be run, AND they were not able to maintain their lifestyle THEN they have no grounds to expect others to follow the same strategy. Just because *most* people in the state aren't likely to change their lifestyles voluntarily to do something about global warming, that doesn't mean that the enlightened few shouldn't continue to complain even more loudly and clearly. The "enlightened few" are not so "enlightened" as they would have others believe. While the state-wide experiment I had suggested will happen until we actually run out of fossil fuels, it is certainly possible for someone on a farm or "enlightened" citizens of a small town to try to support themselves without direct or indirect reliance on fossil fuels. Until someone listens. Hopefully in time to avert global disaster. With nuclear power as one of the energy sources, there is _no question_ that we can meet some of our energy needs without use of fossil fuels. Except for the fossil fuels we'll use while we're building all those nuclear power plants. Then you need to maintain the plants, and the power line networks, mine new sources of uranium, etc. No machine lasts forever, so you will need to replace the plants or large components of them, eventually. That's fine - this _is_ a selfish strategy. Get one's own nuclear power plants built *now*, while one can still use fossil fuels for the trucks going to the construction site - so that when the world wakes up, and fossil fuels are banned, Oh, yeah, that'll happen. We will run low on fossil fuels though, eventually. at least *your* area will be sitting pretty with abundant nuclear power Until your power plants succumb to the ravages of time...then what? while everyone else is suffering on what little energy they can get from wind and solar. (Well, _some_ other lucky people already have hydroelectricity.) Well, not exactly. It is nice to imagine that your large local hydroelectric plant serves only your immediate area, but it doesn't. Given that current warming has already started methane release, and the oceans are becoming acidic from absorbing too much carbon dioxide, we probably can't avert the climate catastrophe, so we should *at least* secure our energy supplies while we still can. And figure out how to maintain them without a fossil fuel infrastructure. Good luck. If I'm pessimistic, and switching to nuclear does help prevent disaster, all the better. |
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