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Old September 22nd 16, 03:43 AM posted to sci.space.policy
Jeff Findley[_6_]
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Default Chinese Space Station News

In article ,
says...

On Wednesday, September 21, 2016 at 6:31:14 AM UTC-4, Jeff Findley wrote:
In article ,
says...

On Tuesday, September 20, 2016 at 2:27:20 PM UTC-4, jacob navia wrote:
Le 20/09/2016 à 05:02,
a écrit :
China's Tiangong-1 space station has been orbiting the planet for about 5 years
now, but recently it was decommissioned and the Chinese astronauts returned to
the surface. In a press conference last week, China announced that the space
station would be falling back to earth at some point in late 2017."

Problem is:

The chinese controllers have lost the command over the ship that will
fall incontrably to earth somewhere.

I find it preposterous that space ships fall somewhere, maybe over
someone's head... The chinese (americans russians whatever) should
ensure that the ship is disposed in a controlled manner, over an empty
area of the planet!

this will be a problem untill the situation fixes itself........

a major part comes down in a city and kills a bunch of people.


Very unlikely given the percentage of the surface of the earth covered
by "city".

they are playing the odds, and have been successful so far, but it will eventually happen


And the odds are clearly in their favor.


very unlikely means its still possible..


It's also very unlikely that it will snow tomorrow here in Ohio. You
could place a bet against snow tomorrow and be nearly certain to win.
The odds of the *single module* Chinese space station hitting "in a city
and kills a bunch of people" is very, very low.

rocket owners have been playing the odds forever. its assured one day
they will come back to bite them


So what? People die every day from all sorts of accidents. You act
like space is "special" in this regard. It's not.


the most likely event. a failure on iss leads to loss of control.
station is big heavy complex and in low orbit.....


You've said this many times before, but it was b.s. then and it's b.s.
now. Where is your analysis? If it is someone else's analysis, where
is your cite?

when station begins to enter modules will break off, scattering
debris, many of which will survive rentry, all over our world.


No Bob, that's *not* *at* *all* how orbital mechanics and reentries
work. Your paranoid delusional fantasies are getting the best of you
again.

Look at the debris pattern of Skylab. It wasn't "all over the world",
despite the fact that it too was made up of several pieces. The debris
pattern was, in fact, in a fairly narrow path below what would have been
its next orbit of the earth, had it had the kinetic energy to keep
going.

Causing a world wide panic..


B.S. Global thermonuclear war would cause a world wide panic.

Jeff
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