On Sunday, 22 October 2017 22:17:50 UTC+2, Chris L Peterson wrote:

Well, no it doesn't. It ignores that the cost of oil will continue to
rise, while the cost of electricity will continue to decrease. It
ignores that the demand for gasoline cars will decline and the demand
for electric cars will increase. It ignores the fact that most people
won't need fueling stations for the vast majority of their fueling. It
ignores that there WILL be significant improvements in charging and
electrical storage technology. It ignores that countries will regulate
non-electric vehicles out of existence for most purposes.

It looks at things as they currently are and imagines that nothing
significant will change. Talk about heads in the sand!

It also ignores the likelihood of rapid CHANGE battery packs.
Petrol station owners and electric car makers would be mad not to consider rapid adoption of standard battery packs as they struggle for serious range and long charging times.
Then all it takes is a simple mechanism for roll-out/roll-in for two minute automated battery exchange.
All vehicle batteries would be rented/hired. NOT bought.
Petrol stations should soon become tourist attractions at Disney and transport museums.
The Chinese have easily enough muscle to introduce standard battery packs over the heads of ostrich car makers.
They are also desperate to provide clean air.
Standardized, rapid change, vehicle battery packs are inevitable and the only real option for keeping the masses moving.

Meanwhile the oil companies will never allow their vehicle re-fueling monopolies to die overnight.
The loss of their prime real estate would be crippling even if they kept up a dwindling supply for the dwindling number of petrol heads.

London has just introduced a surcharge for diesel and older cars entering the city.
A nice little earner for local taxes and increasingly popular for every city around the world as they all struggle with deteriorating air quality.
It forces poorer drivers to seriously consider electric cars.
The car manufacturers are being ostriches where the mass car market is concerned.

Can you imagine oil company directors crying at the prospect of losing total market share to nationwide battery hire startups?
They are already struggling with the loss of earnings from VHS film rental to TV streaming services.
Video rental shops used to be the last gasp for downtrodden shopping streets and malls.
Then the petrol stations took over film hire and closed the last gasp video outlets.
The loss of the petrol station, with its small shop, would be a major blow to many struggling communities.
Times change. Never more than in present times.