On Sun, 22 Oct 2017 14:57:50 -0700, Gutless Umbrella Carrying Sissy
wrote:

Chris L Peterson wrote in
:

On Sun, 22 Oct 2017 12:07:14 -0700, Gutless Umbrella Carrying
Sissy wrote:

Here's an analysis of why electric vehicles are unlikely to ever
completely replace gasoline in the real world. The numbers hold
up very well.

Well, no it doesn't. It ignores that the cost of oil will
continue to rise,

The experts have been saying that for 50 years. People have become
skeptical.

The long term trend HAS been a steady rise.

while the cost of electricity will continue to
decrease.

The laws of physics, however do not. 3 megawatts to fill in less
than five minutes, when 350 kilowatts requires liquid cooling on
the cable, and will literally explode if shorted out. So, at a
minimum, seveal times as long to charge up.

You seem to have ignored the part about not needing to fuel at a
station. The vast majority of users will fuel at home, overnight, or
at work while parked. And those who do use stations will seldom need
to charge fully.

It ignores that countries will regulate
non-electric vehicles out of existence for most purposes.

That may well happen, but that's not the same as replacing gasoline
powered cars. That's social engineering to force people to stay
close to home. Which europe has done a lot of for decades. The US
doesn't respond well to that, and California in particular has a
history of getting rid of politicians who **** with cars (ask Gray
Davis).

It doesn't matter if the car companies aren't making gasoline cars.

You're going to feel pretty stupid in 20 years when most of the
vehicles are electric.