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Old September 2nd 17, 12:14 AM posted to sci.space.policy
Alain Fournier[_3_]
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Posts: 548
Default Houston Houston, do you hear me?

On Aug/31/2017 at 9:13 PM, Fred J. McCall wrote :
Alain Fournier wrote:

On Aug/31/2017 at 1:24 PM, Fred J. McCall wrote :
Rob wrote:

Fred J McCall wrote:
Rob wrote:

Fred J McCall wrote:
OK, you're adamantly ignorant. Your choice. Again, given global
warming, why do we not have constantly increasing storm power and
frequency (because we don't, you know)?

Because global warming only means the AVERAGE temperature is going
up. The ACTUAL temperature, both locally and globally, varies around
that average and is not higher everywhere and always.

Everyone except Donald and you understands that.


In other words, like all GCC True Believers, the evidence only matters
when you say it does. If the AVERAGE temperature is going up, the
AVERAGE storm should be more severe and the AVERAGE number should be
going up. Why are neither of those two things true?


But they ARE true!


Hogwash! You are entitled to your own opinion but you are NOT
entitled to your own data.

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/top10.asp


Did you actually look at the site you cited?

Seasons with the most named storms, 1851 - Present
11 of 15 years given, or 73%, are in the past 25 years. By random
this should be about 15%.

Seasons with the most hurricanes, 1851 - Present
5 out of 10 given, or 50%, are in the past 25 years. By random,
this should be about 15%.

Seasons with the most major hurricanes, 1851 - Present
3 out of 8 given, or 38%, are in the past 25 years. By random,
this should be about 15%.

Seasons with the highest Accumulated Cyclone Energy, 1851 - Present
4 out of 10 given, or 40%, are in the past 25 years. By random,
this should be about 15%.

That's all the info given on that site. All of it showing that
we now having more severe weather than in the past.


But it is not, as it should be if GCC is true and only water
temperature matters, monotonically increasing.


What are you talking about? I don't think I have ever seen anyone
anywhere claim that global warming is monotonic, nor anyone
saying only water temperature matters. There really no reason
whatsoever to think that hurricanes should increase monotonically.


Alain Fournier