"Bill" wrote in message
news
http://abcnews.go.com/US/print?id=644388
Muratore said assessing the danger from foam and other launch debris
is an extremely complicated engineering problem made even more
uncertain by the fact that computer models show little pieces of foam
could cause catastrophic damage. NASA's flight experience over the
decades has proven otherwise.

What NASA has to do to get smarter, Muratore said, is to stop relying
on computer models and start flying the space shuttle again.

This doesn't sound like the smartest statement in the world. Given that the
flight experience to date is dismally small, by statistics standards, one
really can't come to the conclusion that the computer models can be
completely disregarded.

It would be most interesting to know what the computer models say about the
probability of another fatal foam strike. Is it one in 100, one in 1000,
one in 10,000???? If it's anything less than one in 100, I'd be a bit
worried.

Jeff
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