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Old October 14th 11, 11:04 PM posted to sci.space.policy
David Spain
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Default Launching a New Era: SpaceX vs. ULA

David Spain wrote:
wrote:
this new
criteria will set the stage for a likely duel between Space
Exploration Technologies and its young Falcon 9 and the
United Launch Alliance's Atlas V and Delta IV vehicles,
which boast a record of 43 successes."


Once Falcon 9 establishes a track record, look at the fixed costs. That
will determine the winner.

Dave


That is of course, too simplistic. I don't expect ULA or any other supplier to
just sit still. If their fixed costs are too high they will offer
alternatives. They'll have to.

Dave