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Old August 14th 16, 03:37 PM posted to sci.space.policy
Vaughn Simon
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Posts: 55
Default Sixth Falcon 9 landing

On 8/14/2016 8:05 AM, Jeff Findley wrote:

A Sixth Success! SpaceX Again Lands Rocket on a Ship at Sea


This is not only another success, but another data point on the path to
routine booster re-usability.

SpaceX calls these landings "Challenging" yet their recent string of
successful recoveries seems increasingly unlikely to be a statistical
fluke. It appears that SpaceX can bank on a future recovery success
rate that will be significantly better than 50%. That said, I'm willing
to stick my neck out enough to guess that, given the narrow margins
involved, they are unlikely to approach a 100% recovery success rate
anytime soon.

But how will recovery impact SpaceX future operations? After all,
waiting for good weather in the recovery area isn't compatible with
SpaceX's goal of a greatly increased launch tempo.

I will be interested to see how they deal with the certainty of future
recovery area uncooperative weather. Will they be willing to delay
launches, possibly for weeks, solely because recovery is temporarily
impossible?

When high winds or waves in the recovery area weather make recovery
unlikely, will they deliberately land boosters in the ocean rather than
suffer virtually certain damage to their recovery barge?