"JF Mezei" wrote in message
web.com...

On 2017-10-29 11:30, Jeff Findley wrote:

That's what counts here. You're damning them because they're not yet to
the "gas and go" stage even though they're the only company reflying
stages and saving money doing it.

NO. I am criticising those cheerleaders who claim they have achieved the
"gas and go" and reflying at high rates already.

Oh, I see, you're arguing against a strawman. Sorry. I misunderstood. I
thought you were actually debating actual claims, not ones you're claiming
some mythical person has made up.


They aren't there YET. And they aren't re-using stages more than twice YET.


Yet, considering 25% of their flights this year were reflown, that's a damn
good start. Give them another year and let's see what happens.

No matter how confident people are that it WILL happen, it hasn't
happened YET.


Selling flights on reflown boosters is good. But that doesn't show how
quickly these flighst happen, and what the expected turn around between
stage landing and taking off again is. This is still very early in the
"reflying stages" business.

It doesn't show what percentage of landed stages are re-usable, and it
doesn't show how many times each stage can be re-used.

So there are still many variables remaining to be defined even if the
equation already looks fantastic.


Yes, you could claim "mission accomplished" for the hundred million
satellite launch business since SpacedX, even without re-usable stages
wins hands down on costs. The question remains on whether Musk will
succeed in lowering lauch cost to a point where totally new markets
emerge of people who couldn't afford launches before but now can.
--
Greg D. Moore http://greenmountainsoftware.wordpress.com/
CEO QuiCR: Quick, Crowdsourced Responses. http://www.quicr.net
IT Disaster Response -
https://www.amazon.com/Disaster-Resp...dp/1484221834/