William Mook wrote:

I think with his two stage RLV design 400 tons is more achievable, but if he can get his structure fraction down to 3.5% from 4.2% - he can get another 50 tons out of the deal.


You have no idea what his actual structure fraction will be, so so far
you're just pulling numbers out of your ass.


They will likely go to Mars in stasis, in large fleets orbited over the entire synodic period. That way capital utilisation is maximised. Meanwhile, 'live' crews - mostly doctors - visit those in stasis. They're awakened on a schedule every 28 days - and surgeries cosmetic and other can be scheduled as well. People spend a day or two in awakened state - and assessed physically and psychologically. In this way over a 90 day to 120 day trip - people can enjoy a very fine luxury experience - at minimal cost in terms of weight or money.


Except that's not what he says he's going to do or how he says it will
work. Musk plans on sending people long before 'stasis' is ready.

Perhaps you should let Musk talk for Musk and stop making **** up?


http://www.sei.aero/eng/papers/uploa...2010162015.pdf

This was presented at the 66th IAF conference - and Musk was there. Just saying.


Except he was detailing things about his vision for Mars long before
that conference. No doubt lots of things were presented that he'll
make no use of at all.


200 t - 300 kW - 100 people. So, 400 t 600 kW - 200 people - is his payload.


Numbers straight from Mookie's ass.


--
"Ordinarily he is insane. But he has lucid moments when he is
only stupid."
-- Heinrich Heine