Jochem Huhmann wrote:
Pat Flannery writes:

They think the faulty explosive bolts that caused the service module
separation problems on Soyuz TMA-10 and 11 are also on TMA-12:
http://uk.reuters.com/article/scienc...82559920080523

What I find really strange is that obviously there's not even enough
information available to say *which* module didn't separate cleany. I've
read "equipment module" several times now and still don't know if that
means the orbital module or the service module.

It means service module.

If that's the case, then the crew probably has at least a 10% chance of
being killed during reentry.

I don't think anyone can quantify the probability of the crew being
killed. There's just not enough information available.

Agreed.