Rick wrote:
2001, while a nice show, was nothing like what happened
in 1966.

By now it's obvious these "researchers" have no clue about
the true location of the Tempel-Tuttle debris trail(s). They've
been all but promising a storm similar to 1966 every year
since 1999, and all of them have basically sucked (except
for 2001, and even that was a shower -- not a storm).

I'd say that the current dust trail models are remarkably accurate,
especially in the timing. Jane and I flew on the 2002 mission to
document the two storm peaks. The peaks were within 15 minutes of the
forecast time. That continues to amaze me.

Certainly the rate forecasts are not as accurate as the timing, but I
personally documented rates over 1,000/hour in Alice Springs, Australia,
during the second peak of the 2001 storm.

I agree that it's difficult to model how much material is in each of
the dust trails, which is why we continue to document and study the
Leonids.

But to say they have "no clue" is absurd.

Mojo
2002 Leonid MAC scrapbook: http://www.whiteoaks.com/mac-2002/
--
Morris Jones *
San Rafael, CA

http://www.whiteoaks.com