On 15 Aug 2006 11:52:16 -0700, in a place far, far away, "Ed Kyle"
made the phosphor on my monitor glow in such a
way as to indicate that:

So the industry is running under 90% success for the year so far.

Yes, but it still might be a short-term aberration.
Since 2000, inclusive, the success rate has been about
94%. There have been 3 or 4 failures each year and
an average of 63.5 launches. 2006 can still make the
norm if no more failures occur - but that probably won't
happen if Mr. Musk fires up another Falcon!

I'm not sure what your (pessimistic) assessment of Falcon reliability
is based on.