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Old March 19th 04, 02:59 PM
Paul Blay
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Default Sedna, space probes?, colonies? what's next?

"G EddieA95" wrote ...
(no one wants to purposely
raise the P that much, but it will get there)


Which you know because?


Population is mathematical. Since 1800, we have abundant data points that
define the S-curve. It climbed slowly, picked up fast in the XX century, and
is leveling out now. Estimates are that it will flatten out around 10b before
2100.


Er, 10 billion isn't double 6 billion.

Also have you seen the size of the error bars on that thing?
http://esa.un.org/unpp/
7.4 billion 2050 (low) [Already past peak and going down]
Also 8.9 billion 2050 (medium) [Going up a bit over 0.1 billion / 5 years]
10.6 billion 2050 (high)

Unless of course it crashes before then.


So in other words you don't know it will get there.