(ed kyle) wrote in message . com...

If all goes well and SpaceX doesn't trip itself up with a
series of launch failures, the company will have to all but
put Pegasus and Taurus out of business to get to the 2-3/year
rate, then will still have to compete with the likes of
low-cost Minotaur for some government business. On the
commercial side, there is Eurockot, which offers a more
powerful launch vehicle than Falcon for probably about the
same amount of money, yet still has only won about 1-2
launches per year.

- Ed Kyle

In one of his updates, Elon stated that one of the initial customers
was only purchasing a launch because SpaceX had such a low price.
(i.e. They would not have launched anything otherwise)

If this kind of market elasticity truly exists, there will be more
opportunities than past results would indictate.

-S