Space review: The vision thing
"Terrell Miller" wrote ...
"Henry Spencer" wrote ...
I don't have to have built a dining-room table to assert confidently that
it is possible for me to do so. I *did* design and build the desk I'm now
sitting at; it is not as large as a dining-room table, but it is actually
significantly more complicated. The same tools and skills apply.
Fine. Now build two hundred of them each year for the next decade.
It's quite simple*. If you were a government or large commercial organisation
saying that with a big (but not impossibly big) budget Henry would be
saying "Ta muchly" right now** and phoning a few relevant firms.
Suppose you dropped into an alternative Earth where the car had not been
invented but technology was otherwise at a similar level. Hand over a blue
print of a recent car and say "I'd like one of these please" - how much do
you suppose it would cost? Now go to the same scenario but hand over the
blueprint and say "I'd like one million of these a year please, you market and
sell them and I'll take a percentage" it isn't going to cost them one million
times as much or be a million times as difficult is it?
Current launch vehicle pricing and availability is widely agreed to be
a) 'Cuz there's no market.
or
b) 'Cuz there's no market at that price.
I don't know anybody else (apart maybe for a certain J.O.) who thinks
it's
c) 'Cuz it's impossible to make more of them.
* Although I /have/ over-simplified and I'm far from the most knowledgeable
in this group.
** Although probably also "Can't do it this year, is the next OK?"
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