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Old February 15th 05, 02:06 AM
Charles Buckley
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Jorge R. Frank wrote:
Charles Buckley wrote in
:


David M. Palmer wrote:

In article , Max Beerbohm
wrote:




Seriously, if you are going to say that there is no reason not to do a
Hubble visit, you need to address the safety issue - as some on this
group have done.

The article above is poorly researched because of this.


The expected risk cost is ~0.1 lives and 0.015 shuttles (assuming a
1/70 chance of disaster with each shuttle mission not to ISS).


Recalculate for 1/50 That is the current safety rating.



According to whom? Cite your sources, please.



Demonstrated safety. They have not yet established that they can
calculate the the safety rate accurately.


At *worst*, it's 1/56.5 (+ post-CAIB safety improvements).

*Reasonably*, it's 1/88, (+ post-CAIB safety improvements).

Again, *cite* your sources, if you have any.