"Dave O'Neill" :

"Rand Simberg" wrote in message
...
On 8 Oct 2004 01:09:32 -0700, in a place far, far away,
(Dave O'Neill) made the phosphor on my monitor glow
in such a way as to indicate that:

Well, let's look at the "sample", me and her. I'd like to go -
currently I couldn't pay more than about $25,000 and stay married,
still I'm in my 30s - the average age for the Futron survey was 50s,
so I expect to be able to afford a Virgin trip at the price announced
in that time.

OTOH, according to Futron 50% (well 49% +/- 4.7% error) of the sample
stated they were not prepared to go _at any price point_, so that
looks like the O'Neill household is pretty representative of the
market as outlined by Futron.

Which is utterly irrelevant, because one cannot extrapolate the
behavior of millions from a single individual. You can continue to
flatter yourself as somehow being representative of the market but
that's statistically absurd, and if you based business decisions on
that, you'd be quickly out of business.

I'm claiming no such thing Rand, but please indulge your own fantasies.

snip silly stuff

Sorry, Dave but unless something important is missing from the above quotes
it is you with the fantasies. If your family matchs the 49% (+/- 4.7% error)
then you don't match the entire market, you match the 49% (+/- 4.7% error).
The other 51% (+/- 4.7% error) of the market want to go at some price point
and you thus in no way represent them at all.

I want to go, you thus can't represent me and my wants, thus when you make
the statement that you represent the market but I am part of that same market
and do not match you claims, you are the one who comes off as having an
inflated ego.

Earl Colby Pottinger


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