"Pete Lawrence" wrote in message
...

I think people would be interested to know what the chances are that
they will be able to see something of this event.

Not knowing a great dal about weather modelling, how representative
are the current results? Do they give a picture that is essentially
correct but awaiting the fine detail or is there considerable room for
variation at this distance out?


*considerable* variation at this lead time ... which is one reason I
have not bothered to cross-post at this time. Even 3 or 4 days out (with
the situation that is developing), we are going to have problems. As
someone said in uk.sci.weather, even if the forecast *looks*
disappointing, I would plan for a sighting at least _sometime_ during
the expected event. We are going to be mighty unlucky to see nothing at
all for the full 6-odd hours!

Martin. (Rowley)


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