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Old January 20th 04, 05:31 AM
Bruce Sterling Woodcock
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Default Will foreign Astronauts be on Shuttle?


"MasterShrink" wrote in message
...

I may be paranoid, but surely, cancelling the Hubble service mission

even
before anyone has tried or tested any repair ideas for rcc panels, and
considering that by the law of averages, the mission is probably going to
have a better chance of success than the first Apollo had, is kind of
counter intuitive.


To put things in perspective for a moment in the shuttle program there

have
been 26 flights that have gone to a space station (and I'm counting the

STS 63
Mir flyby).

That's 26 out of 111 missions where the crew went up and came home safely.
That's less than 25% of the shuttle flights by my math.

Hell, Discovery which has racked up 30 missions only has 6 space station
missions. Only Atlantis will have more station missions flown that

solo-Earth
orbit flights, if it is indeed the shuttle that ends up flying STS 114.

And here we are terrified of flying one more non-station mission...


Because we were wrong about non-station missions.

It's like flying a plane with a bomb on board that goes off
1 in every 50 flights when you land. But if you rendezvous
with a special plane in the air, the bomb can be defused.
After 100 flights, we discover this, so we decide from
now on we'll fly only when we can rendezvous with that
plane.

And you're complaining, "Hey, you flew most of those
flights without that other plane, why are you afraid
now? The bomb probably won't go off!"

Bruce