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Old November 24th 15, 04:58 AM posted to sci.astro.research
Phillip Helbig (undress to reply)[_2_]
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Posts: 273
Default The sea of galaxies comes slowly into view

In article ,
"Robert L. Oldershaw" writes:

If I go into a cafe and see three people more than 2 metres tall, I
would be surprised. If I surveyed all the people in a large country, I
wouldn't be. The larger the sample, the more we should expect atypical
members of the sample. Check out papers by Peter Coles and Ian Harrison
using extreme-value statistics. They debunk many claims that extremely
large objects somehow contradict established theory. (Interestingly,
Stuart Coles (no relation, as far as I know) at the University of
Bristol has written a book on statistical modeling of extreme values.)


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But say there is an unexplored island and conventional theory
predicts that because of its likely environmental conditions,
probable food resources and isolation, the inhabitants should be
pygmies.

Then the island is explored for the first time and numerous people
over 2 meters tall are there to greet the explorers.

One could not hide behind crude statistical arguments based on
faulty assumptions, but would have to admit that theory got it
wrong.


The question is which scenario corresponds best to high-redshift
galaxies. Certainly many "surprising" claims have been made in the
literature, but, as I mentioned, some have been debunked. Since no-one
has debunked the debunking, it stands, even if those debunked don't
loudly admit it.