Il 27/07/2011 23:37, Dennis ha scritto:


Interesting! I'm reading "The Next 100 Years" by George Friedman of
STRATFOR. His predictions to 2020 a

1) We're at the end of the Islamic-terrorism war, which will fizzle out.

2) China will fragment internally. The coastal cities and regions are
making all the money. The central gov't will want to send some of it to
the interior but won't be able to, so they won't be able to tell the
coastal areas what to do. This may not be very wisible to us; mainly it
means China won't be much of a player on the world scene.

3) OTOH, there will be a mini-repeat of the Cold War with Russia as it
rebuilds militarily and tries to rebuild its strategic buffers. It won't
get very hot. The US will ally with the Eastern European states. It will
end about like the last one around 2020.

So, could this be the first play? :-)

In what year was published ? and from the date of publication until now
what is the rate of successful predictions ?

Anyway, I highly mistrust "laity" (so to speak) predictions...

Best regards from Italy,
Dott. Piergiorgio.